Fickle Iowans And A Consistent Message Give Santorum A Chance To Win.Rock Rapids, Iowa - In the last hours before Iowans that his choice for the Republican presidential candidate, Rick Santorum has been doing some of his last stop here in rural Iowa, on the northwest corner of conservatives. In making the final push to the end, Santorum is clearly hoping to get in the top with a region full of his most fervent followers.
Although it has invested more of their time in the state - welcoming more than 350 municipalities, at least one in each of 99 counties in Iowa - than any of its competitors, the voters of Iowa are just coming around Santorum cause. The latest Des Moines Register poll taken before the assemblies showed Santorum behind Romney and Ron Paul, but increasing rapidly. There are several reasons why Santorum is just beginning to resonate here.
First, Iowans have proven to be an undecided group this season. The same Des Moines Register poll that confirmed the momentum Santorum also showed that 41 percent chance of caucusgoers Republicans were willing to change their mind before voting on Tuesday. During the campaign, the survey showed Register Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul in or near the top of the list.
Like crabs in a bucket, each time a Republican candidate has hit 2012 on the package, others have seized upon the new leader - with a little help from a media more than willing - and pulled back the candidate. (Mitt Romney seems to be the only contender capable of overcoming the law of politics dictated that what goes up must come down.)
With the meetings will be held on Tuesday, probably will not be enough time for other candidates to trigger a round of attacks on Santorum in a way that will resonate. Santorum may have wanted more air time and a moment in the spotlight - but waiting so long for his rise in the polls could be a blessing. It has benefited from the benign neglect of the rest of the field: None of its competitors found it useful to devote resources to attack it.
Along the way, Santorum tells voters that he is the combination of conservative principles and an eligible candidate you've been looking all the time. His stump speech is heavy on his record in Congress, pointing to his successful election of the Senate for two terms to represent Pennsylvania, a swing state with a long democratic legacy. (Never mind that he lost by double digits in 2006, although when asked, Santorum is attributed to the National Republican wave that year.)
He is not shy about adding a dose of praise in each of its speeches to Iowa voters
"The people of Iowa are doing their job," Santorum said Sunday in Orange City, a conservative small town in northwest Iowa, "I told the reporters again and again, just wait. When the people of Iowa sit and reach that decision, they will carry. And they're going to be bold. So people ask me why we are the increase in the polls. That's what I think is happening. We have presented with a message to this country and we have a solid track record to back it up. "
If you ask Iowans what separates Santorum of others, usually going to hear similar answers: He shares my values, but shows a strong will to oppose abortion, he is someone you can trust that champion conservative causes in Washington. But the word most heard is "consistency."
"I heard in June and what impressed me most about him tonight is that his message was consistent with what he said then," said Randy Bosh Yahoo News Rock Rapids after a town hall on Sunday. “He told me the same things today."
Of course, there is always the possibility that increased Santorum has little to do with your message. It could simply be the last candidate standing as conservative voters who do not like Romney climbing to find someone to help.
When trying to explain the increase, the employees of Santorum, like his boss, stick to the message that the voters of Iowa are deliberate and methodical. "The voters of Iowa take their jobs very seriously. They cut down," said Hogan Gidley, a spokesman for Santorum, Yahoo News. "When it came time to decide who actually wanted to vote had to do them all in the first place."
"A couple of weeks ago, before Christmas, we were in last place, so I do not mean that it is surprising from the standpoint of the message that Rick has been giving the people of Iowa," said Gidley. "The speed of this growth is exciting. I mean it's not unexpected, but very refreshing."
If you do end up doing well in Iowa, Santorum will then have to prove they can compete in other states to first principles, especially in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He will have to do a lot of ground quickly at the same time raise enough money to support a campaign that could grind for several months.
Santorum insists that his organization is strong in New Hampshire, which holds its primary election next week, but voting is less than 4 percent in the state, according to Real Clear Politics average.
However, this is the same place it occupied in Iowa polls just two weeks ago, when practically the only one who could get reporters to ask about when he would quit.
Although it has invested more of their time in the state - welcoming more than 350 municipalities, at least one in each of 99 counties in Iowa - than any of its competitors, the voters of Iowa are just coming around Santorum cause. The latest Des Moines Register poll taken before the assemblies showed Santorum behind Romney and Ron Paul, but increasing rapidly. There are several reasons why Santorum is just beginning to resonate here.
First, Iowans have proven to be an undecided group this season. The same Des Moines Register poll that confirmed the momentum Santorum also showed that 41 percent chance of caucusgoers Republicans were willing to change their mind before voting on Tuesday. During the campaign, the survey showed Register Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul in or near the top of the list.
Like crabs in a bucket, each time a Republican candidate has hit 2012 on the package, others have seized upon the new leader - with a little help from a media more than willing - and pulled back the candidate. (Mitt Romney seems to be the only contender capable of overcoming the law of politics dictated that what goes up must come down.)
With the meetings will be held on Tuesday, probably will not be enough time for other candidates to trigger a round of attacks on Santorum in a way that will resonate. Santorum may have wanted more air time and a moment in the spotlight - but waiting so long for his rise in the polls could be a blessing. It has benefited from the benign neglect of the rest of the field: None of its competitors found it useful to devote resources to attack it.
Along the way, Santorum tells voters that he is the combination of conservative principles and an eligible candidate you've been looking all the time. His stump speech is heavy on his record in Congress, pointing to his successful election of the Senate for two terms to represent Pennsylvania, a swing state with a long democratic legacy. (Never mind that he lost by double digits in 2006, although when asked, Santorum is attributed to the National Republican wave that year.)
He is not shy about adding a dose of praise in each of its speeches to Iowa voters
"The people of Iowa are doing their job," Santorum said Sunday in Orange City, a conservative small town in northwest Iowa, "I told the reporters again and again, just wait. When the people of Iowa sit and reach that decision, they will carry. And they're going to be bold. So people ask me why we are the increase in the polls. That's what I think is happening. We have presented with a message to this country and we have a solid track record to back it up. "
If you ask Iowans what separates Santorum of others, usually going to hear similar answers: He shares my values, but shows a strong will to oppose abortion, he is someone you can trust that champion conservative causes in Washington. But the word most heard is "consistency."
"I heard in June and what impressed me most about him tonight is that his message was consistent with what he said then," said Randy Bosh Yahoo News Rock Rapids after a town hall on Sunday. “He told me the same things today."
Of course, there is always the possibility that increased Santorum has little to do with your message. It could simply be the last candidate standing as conservative voters who do not like Romney climbing to find someone to help.
When trying to explain the increase, the employees of Santorum, like his boss, stick to the message that the voters of Iowa are deliberate and methodical. "The voters of Iowa take their jobs very seriously. They cut down," said Hogan Gidley, a spokesman for Santorum, Yahoo News. "When it came time to decide who actually wanted to vote had to do them all in the first place."
"A couple of weeks ago, before Christmas, we were in last place, so I do not mean that it is surprising from the standpoint of the message that Rick has been giving the people of Iowa," said Gidley. "The speed of this growth is exciting. I mean it's not unexpected, but very refreshing."
If you do end up doing well in Iowa, Santorum will then have to prove they can compete in other states to first principles, especially in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He will have to do a lot of ground quickly at the same time raise enough money to support a campaign that could grind for several months.
Santorum insists that his organization is strong in New Hampshire, which holds its primary election next week, but voting is less than 4 percent in the state, according to Real Clear Politics average.
However, this is the same place it occupied in Iowa polls just two weeks ago, when practically the only one who could get reporters to ask about when he would quit.
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